Jannik Sinner’s quarter-final defeat to Daniil Medvedev at Wimbledon has opened the door for Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz to close the gap at the top of the ATP Rankings. 

The world No. 1 lost to Medvedev in the final eight on Center Court on Tuesday after an exciting five-set match, marking his first tournament loss prior to the semifinals.

After Wimbledon, Sinner will continue to be ranked as the top player in the ATP rankings, but he has lost the chance to gain more ground on his competitors.

The 22-year-old Italian, who advanced to the All England Club semifinals in 2023, will lose 320 points when the ATP Rankings are released the following week. The winner of the Australian Open will now have 9,570 points instead of 9,890.

The two heavy favorites to win Wimbledon, Djokovic and Albaraz, will square off in the semifinals on Friday.

After defeating Tommy Paul in the quarterfinals, Alcaraz will play Medvedev in the last four, and Djokovic will play either Lorenzo Musetti or Taylor Fritz following Alex de Minaur’s injury withdrawal from their matchup in the round of eight.

Prior to the competition, Djokovic, the current world No. 2, has 8,360 points. If he wins a record-tying eighth title on Sunday, his total could go to 9,160. He would therefore just be 410 points behind Sinner as a result.

The 37-year-old, who finished second at Wimbledon the previous year, will receive an additional 100 points if he loses in the championship match this time around. Prior to this season, Grand Slam finalists were awarded 1,200 instead of 1,300 points.Djokovic’s point total will drop to 7,960 if he loses in the semifinals.

Since Alcaraz is the defending champion and finished third in the ATP Rankings before Wimbledon, he is unable to accrue more points.

On the other hand, should the Spaniard be able to successfully defend his title, which would leave him with 8,130 points, he might close the gap with Sinner and Djokovic. If Djokovic lost in the final four, Alcaraz would move up to the No. 2 ranking by winning the tournament.

If the 21-year-old finishes in second place, he will still have 7,430 points and will be in third place; but, if he loses in the semifinals, he would drop to fourth place.

After finishing in the last four, Alcaraz would have 6,930 points, which would allow Alexander Zverev to pass him and take the third place in the global rankings. The German would then have 7,015 points after making it to the final 16.

Men’s Singles Grand Slam points breakdown

Winner – 2000 points
Runner-up – 1300 points
Semi-finals – 800 points
Quarter-finals – 400 points
Round of 16 – 200 points
Round of 32 – 100 points
Round of 64 – 50 points
Round of 128 – 10 points